BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.IBM and Illinois will establish a national quantum algorithm center with universities and industries in Chicago. On December 12th, local time, IBM and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker announced that they would cooperate to establish a new national quantum algorithm center in the Illinois Quantum and Microelectronics Park (IQMP) in Chicago. The center is jointly supported by IBM and other quantum computing pioneers, including the University of Chicago and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and will be supported by IBM's next-generation quantum computer, IBM Quantum System Two, which the company plans to deploy in Chicago next year.Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)
Apple is about to switch to self-developed Bluetooth and Wi-Fi chips for iPhone and smart home. Apple plans to switch to domestic chips for Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection on its devices from next year, which will gradually phase out some components currently provided by Broadcom. This chip, code-named Proxima, has been developed for several years and is now planned to be used in the first batch of iPhone and smart home devices produced in 2025. The internal chips of iPhone manufacturers will be produced by TSMC.Market news: Trump team seeks to integrate or cancel banking regulators.The Canadian dollar fell to 1.4210, the lowest since April 2020.
Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.Daiwa Securities SMBC Co., Ltd. downgraded Xinao Energy to Hold with a target price of HK$ 56.The hospital ship "Square Boat" ended its visit to Djibouti and went to Sri Lanka. On the 13th, local time, the hospital ship "Square Boat" of China Navy, which carried out the "Harmonious Mission -2024" mission, successfully ended its visit to Djibouti and went to Sri Lanka, the next stop of this mission. (Xinhua News Agency)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14